Sunday, March 29, 2009

Gold Rises Above $900 An Ounce Again


Gold rallied above $900 an ounce on Wednesday as investors bet a recent plunge was overdone. A weaker dollar helped boost the metal's hedge appeal.

April gold jumped to $910.70 an ounce, up $14.80 on the session. The metal reached as high as $913.80 for the session.

The dollar fell sharply versus the yen and came under modest pressure against the euro on Wednesday, improving gold's hedge value. The dollar tested its 2-week low from yesterday against the euro and backed away from a four-month best versus the yen.

Gold's gains were somewhat limited by a drop in crude oil prices. Light sweet crude fell $3.38 to finish at $42.33 per barrel. U.S. commercial crude oil inventories increased 749,000 barrels in the week ended March 6, according to Energy Information Administration data.

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Currencies and Economic News

In the currency market, the dollar was lower against the euro. Late Thursday, the euro was trading at $1.2818 vs. $1.2783 on Wednesday.
The story of the day in the currency market was the crash of the Swiss franc, which fell at least 3% against the euro, pound, and USD. As Dan Norcini wrote on jsmineset.com, “The big stunner of [yesterday] was massive intervention by the Swiss National Bank into the Forex markets which absolutely obliterated the Franc. They caught everyone flatfooted and achieved maximum shock value.
“The Swiss cut their 3 month Libor target by 25 basis points but they also stepped into the bond market and purchased substantial amounts of Swiss franc bonds. That in combination with them buying large amounts of foreign currency is in my view what shoved gold up so sharply today. The strategy of the Swiss is pretty clear – undercut their own currency to remain export competitive especially against the Euro and the US Dollar and provide substantial amounts of liquidity in the process.”
Among the day’s hard data, the Commerce Department said that retail sales dropped 0.1% on a seasonally adjusted basis in February. Hardly something to crow about, but it was a whole lot better than the 0.4% decline expected by economists. January's sales gain was revised up, to a 1.8% growth rate from the 1% increase estimated.
“How about that!” exclaimed economist Jennifer Lee of BMO Capital Markets. But she added that, “Consumers are fighting a good fight, but with such a terrible job market, it is tough to imagine how they can keep it going for long.”
Her skepticism is surely well-founded. The Labor Department reported yesterday that first-time applications for unemployment benefits rose by 9,000 last week to 654,000, up 88% from a year earlier. The number of people collecting jobless benefits also increased, up 193,000 to a record 5.32 million, Labor said.

FOREX-Euro hits 2-mth high vs yen, 2-1/2 week high vs dlr

LONDON, March 13 (Reuters) - The euro jumped to a two-month high against the yen and reached a 2-1/2 week high against the dollar on Friday, helped by solid gains on equity markets.
Gains against the yen were also helped as the market digested the Swiss National Bank's action to weaken the Swiss franc.
European shares jumped 2 percent .FTEU3 and were on course for a fourth consecutive day of gains, following data showing U.S. retail sales fell much less than forecast in February, which also encouraged investors to pull out of the perceived safety of the dollar.